Experimental historical estimate, not a promise or your account reset time. Waiting longer does not raise this memoryless model's odds.
How we calculate this
We use up to eight completed intervals between source-marked confirmed reset records, deduplicate by UTC date, and exclude banked grants, previews and future records. Rate = intervals / total days; P(t) = 1 − exp(−rate × t). Displayed estimates are capped at 46% and 71%. This is our own implementation, not the original provider's exact model or a validated prediction.
OFFICIAL SERVICE REPORT
Service status
Waiting for OpenAI Status.
Only Codex-named components actually reported by the official API are shown. Other surfaces and your personal quota are unknown.
A conservative wording rule, separate from the historical percentage. A watch score is a rule level, not a measured probability. Banked grants do not reset this model's clock.
Data: codex-reset.com. Service status: OpenAI Status. Our backend fetches and briefly caches these public sources on request. It does not operate its own X API collector or account-monitoring fleet. No request is sent with your saved personal time or usage.
The visible page checks about every two minutes; source timestamps may be older than our fetch time. If an upstream fails, we show failure or stale data, not the old archived snapshot as a live result.
Every Codex reset signal on one screen: OpenAI service health, Tibo’s reset context under the eight feed tabs, the verified reset timeline and the reset-hour histogram.
🎟️A new banked Codex reset landed on our monitoring accounts.latest banked alert · 5 hours ago
What changed
No current anomaly is confirmed. Last complete checks are shown in each track.
Service signal
OpenAI service health
“OpenAI incident active” means an official OpenAI service incident is active. It does not establish a quota reset or compensation. For current incident state, see /status.
Verified Tibo announcements, limit events, prediction windows and reset history remain the core reset signal track.
How to read the radar
How to read the feed labels
These are display filters, not alert-delivery rules. A label alone does not mean an alert was sent.
all
Tibo’s latest posts and replies as published — the raw stream, including what the classifier dropped.
radar
Reset context: every post from the last 14 days the reset classifier kept as reset-related. The six tabs to the right are slices of it; signals, banked and reset also list the older verified history.
signals
Reset, boost, unlock, verifying and banked posts together, plus the older verified history.
banked
Banked reset grants and lifecycle updates, older verified grants included; distinct from a regular quota reset.
Events from different tracks share a clock, not an implied causal relationship.
Reset & limits signalDay 15 of the 28-day ship-or-reset series: hours after “We’re cooked”, Tibo posted the global reset: “Nevermind, we’re still cooking... and reset. Enjoy.”
Reset & limits signalDay 13 of the 28-day ship-or-reset series: the global reset promised “by EOD PST” landed at 20:41 UTC on our checks; Tibo then posted: “Done.”
Reset & limits signalDay 10 of the 28-day ship-or-reset series: the global reset promised to land “within the next 2 hours” arrived at 06:13 UTC on our checks; Tibo: “Done and dusted.”
Reset & limits signalDay 8 of the 28-day ship-or-reset series: the global reset promised “by EOD PST” landed at 05:03 UTC on our checks, and Tibo confirmed: “It’s done.”
Day 26/ You can now easily switch between multiple accounts on mobile, and coming soon to desktop too. Next two days will be resets… banked… do with this what you may 👀.
t.co/iQxsqbuk0f
Day 25/
We are doubling all usage limits for all Pro 100/200/500 tiers and Business Premium, effective today.
We heard your kind feedback and won’t be reducing usage limits for Pro 200, so your Work and Codex usage will stay the same. We’re also going to continue offering extended limits for dots for now, and usage of your dot will still continue to be separate from your default usage.
And we'll of course also keep shipping better models and other efficiency improvements that increase your effective usage over time.
Day 23/ Much requested iCloud Main & Calendar plugins. Just kidding, today is a reset. Still much requested though! t.co/tHe09XkVXH
1.1K3488.3K
Snapshot captured 2 Nov 2026 · not auto-refreshing
OpenAI status
checking status.openai.com…
data source
checking feed health…
radar --log events
2026-11-01BANKED · AVAILABLEA new banked Codex reset landed on our monitoring accounts.
2026-10-31BANKED · AVAILABLEA new banked Codex reset landed on our monitoring accounts.
2026-10-28RESETLands by midnight PST.
2026-10-28RESETDay 23/ Much requested iCloud Main & Calendar plugins. Just kidding, today is a reset. Still much requested though! https://t.co/tHe09XkVXH
2026-10-26RESETDay 21/ Wonder what happens the remaining seven days. But today is a reset.
2026-10-25RESETBy midnight PST
2026-10-23RESETLanding tomorrow before 10am PST together with a small ship.
2026-10-23RESETDay 18/ Decisions API is GA, OpenResponses joined the Linux Foundation, we shipped some performance improvements and Uber is going all-in on codex & work. But yes… that’s a res
Every recorded announcement, bucketed by hour in your timezone. Resets cluster in the US afternoon — if you're waiting on a goodwill reset, that's the window to watch.
80 announcements bucketed by hour in your timezone (UTC) · peak 23:00
radar --lore
Community lore
Community-made images archived here as lore, not as data. This site is not affiliated with or endorsed by OpenAI or Tibo. Click an image to enlarge it.
